Overall, the bulk of the world’s developed banks are now out of danger. The DXY is telling us this, as are loan-to-deposit ratios. The danger has now clearly moved to the developing world, led by Brazil, Russia, Chile, and to a much lesser extent, China (it is entirely self-funding, has a solid infrastructure and has rich central coffers). The global credit cycle is a lunar move with the high tide now in the US and the low tide now in South America, Russia and China.
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Paul Schulte has had a career in equity research which spans 22 years on both the buy and sell sides covering the Asian and emerging markets. He also has 5 years of government policy experience in emerging markets. He has been frequently ranked in top-five…read more
